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Re: Advice on system purchase

On 11/2/2012 7:44 AM, Martin Steigerwald wrote:

> Well with ARM getting more performant the differences might blur.

Yes, which is the fact that started this discussion.

> What is a tablet? What is a desktop? If there are already attempts to make 
> regular computer displays touchable for example. Or tablets getting more 
> and more powerful.

Probably more than anything what defines a "desktop" experience is the
keyboard (and mouse, pointing device).

> Anyway, I don´t see much use in predicting the future.

Nonsense.  You do it every day, for instance if you drive a car or ride
a bicycle.  You see another vehicle or pedestrian ahead of you on an
intersecting course.  You predict where that entity will be when you
will reach that point, and you speed up, slow down, brake, stop, or turn
based on that prediction.

> We are all just guessing.
> We all perceive the world, we perceive what we see.
> And what we see may not necessarily be what is really there.

Well, most of us don't collide with other vehicles or run over
pedestrians, so we're mostly right most of the time.  Predicting whether
or not ARM will be on the desktop is little different.  You take in all
the information and make a determination based on the available
information, just like driving the car.  The only real difference is
time scale between analysis and eventual outcome.

Thousands of tech writers make predictions about things in the industry
daily.  Thus I don't see why you believe I shouldn't make such

> Thus I do not put energy on any prediction of AMD´s fate. Support them, if 
> you want. But then grant them the chance to survive as well. Cause 
> supporting them on one hand and basically saying they will go bankrupt on 
> the other seems quite schizophren to me.

You don't make sense here.  I do support AMD, and I never said they're
on a collision course with bankruptcy.  What I did say is competing head
to head with Intel in the x86 CPU market is a tough game, and they have
made many missteps along the way.

Someone would likely acquire them long before bankruptcy would loom.
AMD has too many valuable assets, including CPU and GPU patents, people,
etc.  A likely suitor, should things get that bad for AMD, would be
nVidia.  They've wanted to enter the x86 market, and specifically the
CPU/GPU market, for some time.  Acquiring a weakened AMD on the cheap
would get them there quickly.  Damn, did I make another prediction?
Shame on me. ;)

> If you want them to survive, believe in it and support them.

Those who "believe" in someone or something are often the most vocal
critics of missteps and future direction.  AMD shareholders obviously
believe in the company or they'd unload their stock.  This is also why
they tend to be the most vocal critics, because they have a stake, and
do believe in the future of the company.  Thus don't make the mistake of
assuming criticism means lack of support.  Maybe a better example is
that spouses are often more critical of one another than anyone else,
but this isn't because they don't believe in and support one another.


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