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Re: Debian Status Quo and the Current Ballot

On Wed, Oct 11, 2000 at 09:55:38PM -0500, Branden Robinson wrote:
> This grid is an oversimplification because not all states are equally
> likely.  Ever taken a class in probability?

Yes I did; what's your excuse?

> You want David Welton to vote "Yes" on the first ballot because, while he
> is certain to vote "no" on the second since he "doesn't want any mucking
> about done with Debian", it is to your tactical advantage if people yes for
> AJ's amendment, making the passage of YOUR preferred form of mucking about
> more likely (and the passage of John Goerzen's resolution -- which you
> oppose -- impossible).

All true.. I did in fact recommend my preferred course of action
and I've never pretended otherwise. However, I still think it's
the course of action with the least chance of change.

> Again, proponents of the status quo are better off voting no/no, because
> AJ's resolution is statistically more likely to pass than John's.

It is, however AJ's resolution is equivalent to no change.
Hence, yes/yes, yes/no and no/no all have the same end result.

There are, in precise terms, three end results:
  * no change,
  * GR with Aj's amendment,
  * original GR.

So for exactly no change, you're quite right. However, there are only
two real results:
  * keep non-free,
  * remove non-free

Anyway, I can't believe we're wasting so much time on a pointless

Three out of four states lead to keeping non-free. Pick one path.

Hamish Moffatt VK3SB <hamish@debian.org> <hamish@cloud.net.au>

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